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Day Ahead

Tuesday, 30 October 2012

Cantor Opening Call
  • The FTSE is seen opening around unchanged today
UK Corporate Announcements
  • Standard Chartered states it has shown a strong performance in Q3, but stays cautious on the macro economic outlook
  • BP announces a Q3 pre-tax profit of $5.43bn up from $5.04bn and lifts its quarterly dividend by 12.5% to 9cents
  • Imperial Tobacco reports a full year adjusted operating profit of £3.16bn against forecasts of around £3.2bn seen, on full year revenues of £28.6bn
  • Stagecoach announces that its profitability has been good and its maintains its profit targets
  • Wolfson Electronics announces Q3 revenues of $53m from $40.4m and states that strong revenue momentum continues into Q4, but sees persistent macro-economic headwinds
  • Lonmin falls in South African trading as it sees debt rising significantly in coming months and that it could breach covenants under the existing facility terms, as the Platinum resource group continues its under-performance to the wider sector
  • Regus announces that Q3 has been in line
  • TT Electronics announces that it has seen a softening of order intakes, and now warns that it is lowering its full year outlook
UK Market News
  • The Independent details how UK shoppers took an extra £1.2bn in personal loans and credit card debt in September, mortgage lending increased and loans for house purchases gained over 50,000 for the first time since May
  • Bloomberg suggests that with its results due tomorrow Barclays is expected to announced Q3 pre-tax profit of £1.67bn up around 25%
  • In the UK papers Informa and Abbot Group are the centre of separate M&A talk
  • The German finance minister feels the need to state that Britain was sorely needed in the EU
  • Premier Foods announces that it has sold its Pickles unit to Mizkan for £92.5m
  • The UK sells £1.5bn in 2015 bonds at 10:30
UK Analyst Upgrades
  • Marks & Spencer Raised To Buy From Hold At Socgen
  • Direct Line Rated New Outperform At Credit Suisse; Pt 225P
  • Rightmove Rated New Buy At Citi, Pt 2,050P
UK Analyst Cuts
  • Marks & Spencer Cut To Underweight From Equalweight At Barclays
UK Insider Buying
  • Astrazeneca Plc, (AZN), 1 insider(s) bought 275 shares, £28.76
  • Pathfinder Minerals Plc, (PFP), 1 insider(s) bought 1,000,000 shares, £0.02
  • UBM Plc, (UBM), 1 insider(s) bought 200,000 shares, £6.75
UK Insider Selling
  • Amiad Water Systems Ltd, (AFS), 1 insider(s) sold 20,000 shares, £3.04
Major European Companies Reporting
  • Bayer AG, Q3, 1.143,  Bolsas y Mercados Espanoles SA, Q3, 0.378,  BP PLC, Q3, 0.217,  Danske Bank A/S, Q3, 1.504,  Deutsche Bank AG, Q3, 0.819,  Eni SpA, Q3, 0.432,  Erste Group Bank AG, Q3, 0.412,  Ferrovial SA, Q3, 0.19,  Fiat SpA, Q3, 0.13,  Geberit AG, Q3, 3.23,  Hugo Boss AG, Q3, 1.784,  Imperial Tobacco Group PLC, R, 1.993,  MAN SE, Q3, 1.014,  Metro AG, Q3, 0.523,  Nokian Renkaat OYJ, Q3, 0.548,  Software AG, Q3, 0.442,  Swedish Match AB, Q3, 3.766,  UBS AG, Q3, 0.294,  YIT OYJ, Q3, 0.309
European Market Summary
  • Telefonica announces the IPO price of its German unit at €5.6, placed with institutional investors
  • UBS detailed that it is looking to cut 10,000 jobs, and retreat from the capital intensive trading business
  • Deutsche Bank is expected to announce Q3 pre-tax profit of around €1.06bn up 13%
    Italy is due to sell up to €7bn in Bonds at 11:00
Major US Stock Movers After Hours
  • None Detailed
S&P 500 Companies Reporting
  • Allergan Inc/United States, Q3, 1.037,  Archer-Daniels-Midland Co, Q1, 0.473,  Automatic Data Processing Inc, Q1, 0.625,  Avon Products Inc, Q3, 0.226,  Cardinal Health Inc, Q1, 0.794,  CBRE Group Inc, Q3, 0.33,  Cummins Inc, Q3, 1.834,  DaVita Inc, Q3, 1.552,  Ecolab Inc, Q3, 0.869,  Electronic Arts Inc, Q2, 0.103,  Entergy Corp, Q3, 2.003,  Fiserv Inc, Q3, 1.274,  Ford Motor Co, Q3, 0.301,  Genworth Financial Inc, Q3, 0.192,  HCP Inc, Q3, 0.692,  JDS Uniphase Corp, Q1, 0.12,  Johnson Controls Inc, Q4, 0.753,  Kimco Realty Corp, Q3, 0.308,  L-3 Communications Holdings Inc, Q3, 1.853,  MetroPCS Communications Inc, Q3, 0.264,  NiSource Inc, Q3, 0.052,  ONEOK Inc, Q3, 0.323,  Pentair Ltd, Q3, 0.629,  Pfizer Inc, Q3, 0.525,  Pitney Bowes Inc, Q3, 0.478,  QEP Resources Inc, Q3, 0.351,  Seagate Technology PLC, Q1, 1.665,  TripAdvisor Inc, Q3, 0.419,  United States Steel Corp, Q3, -0.002,  Valero Energy Corp, Q3, 1.787,  Waste Management Inc, Q3, 0.599,  Western Union Co/The, Q3, 0.449,  Williams Cos Inc/The, Q3, 0.266
US Market News
  • Hurricane Sandy remains the dominant story today as the US markets were mostly closed yesterday and the storm system disrupts travel in the region and also impacts on the final last few days of Presidential campaigning
  • NYSE Euronext confirms that it US markets will remain closed for today, with US equity trading now closed for two days in a row, the first time for more than a century
  • The Carlyle Group announces a £1bn planned development on the London South Bank for a new 48 storey skyscraper and 500 luxury apartments
  • Apple announces a couple of senior executive changes, with the departure of mobile head of software amongst those leaving, with analysts citing the recent bad press over its iPhone mapping service
  • Baidu announces that the macro situation is not as healthy as last year and states that its transition to mobile search was well under way and announces a Q3 revenues just under the forecasts and also guided lower for Q4
Overnight Market News
  • The Reserve Bank of India has cut its full year growth forecasts to 5.8%, and sees inflation of 7.5% and maintains its benchmark interest rate at 7.5%, but cuts the lenders reserve requirements, adding around 175bn rupees into the system
  • The Bank of Japan has also left its rate unchanged and increases its asset purchase fund to 66tn yen, in line with the expectations
  • Hitachi has agreed to buy the UK Horizon nuclear project from the previous German owners for £700m, ahead of interest from Westinghouse, while France’s top regulator states that the safety failings seen in the nuclear industry in Japan ahead of the Fukushima disaster are being played out in other countries
  • Shanghai Securities News suggests that regulators are looking at easing limitations on foreign investment in Chinese commodity futures firms
  • Sharp continues its volatile trading, up 8% yesterday on vague talk that it is looking to form a partnership deal with Apple, Google or Microsoft
Major Global IPOs Due Today
  • Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical Group Co Ltd, (2196), 336.07m, HKD 11.8
  • Southcross Energy Partners LP, (SXE), 9m, USD 19 - 21
  • Telefonica Deutschland Holding AG, (O2D), 225m, EUR 5.25 - 6.5
  • Zespol Elektrowni Patnow Adamow Konin SA, (3555945Z), 26.013m, PLN 26.2
FX Summary
  • The Canadian dollar has dropped back under parity as the risk appetite continues to dampen in the near term
Commodity Summary
  • Oil prices have stayed relatively muted despite refineries in the US east coast shutting down production, as the storm system while bad so far appears to be causing less damage to infrastructure than the very worst of forecasts
Economic Data Due
  • 10:00 Eurozone October Consumer Confidence, -25.6 exp. -25.6 previous
  • 11:00 UK October CBI Reported Sales, 8 exp. 6 previous
  • 14:00 US October Consumer Confidence, 73.0 exp. 70.3 previous
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Footnotes
  • All times given are BST
  • Cantor Call, as at 07:15
  • S&P Companies Reporting, (BMO) - Before Market Open, (AMC) - After Market Close
  • Analyst Changes, as at 06:45
  • Insider Deals data compiled from Director/PDMR Shareholding forms published in the past 24 hours (ex weekends).
  • Major European Companies defined as those companies in the STOXX Europe 600 Index
  • FTSE 100 Movers, Blue >0.25%, Green <0.25%, Red <-0.25%, Font size dependent on percentage size of move
Disclaimer
This report is issued by Cantor Fitzgerald Europe, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.  This report is prepared and distributed for information purposes only.  This report may contain information obtained by Cantor Fitzgerald Europe from third parties; the source of information will usually be disclosed.  Cantor Fitzgerald Europe makes no representation and gives no warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this report.  Any person placing reliance upon this report does so at his own risk.  Cantor Fitzgerald Europe, its officers, employees, affiliates and shareholders shall not be liable to any person in any way whatsoever for any losses, costs or claims howsoever arising from any inaccuracies or omissions in this report or any reliance on this report.
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