Cantor Capital Commentary

The most recent commentary notes are detailed below, for older reports please select the archive.

Our commentary notes are also freely available to all by email.

To register please fill in the enclosed “Commentary Registration” form.

Email: sales@cantorcapital.com Tel: +44 (0) 20 7894 8800.

Day Ahead

Friday, 1 February 2013


Stakesback Banner
Cantor Capital Logo
Friday, February 1, 2013, Marketing Communication
Cantor Opening Call
  • The FTSE is seen opening flat to a touch higher this morning
Cantor Capital Graphs
UK Corporate Announcements
  • BT Group announces a Q3 adjusted EBITDA of £1.55bn, just ahead of the forecasts, with an adjusted pre-tax profit of £675m up 7% and confirms its outlook
  • Electrocomponents states that international trends have improved and sees a stronger H2
  • Tate & Lyle announces Q3 pre-tax profit of is broadly in line with the forecasts and states that it has made a solid start to the quarter
  • Kcom states that the market remains challenging but that it has maintained progress in Q3
  • De La Rue announces that it sees final results as similar to last year
UK Market News
  • The long awaited bout of profit taking finally emerged yesterday, but he market only lost 46 points, and remains at 6276, levels which seemed optimistic just 6-8 weeks ago
  • The FT writes that the outlook for Seymour Pierce remains unsure as the board met yesterday evening reportedly as the FSA blocked funding from a Ukranian backer
  • The FT writes that Barclays stays in the news on reports that authorities are investigating that it lent money to Qatar in 2008, which was then lent back to the bank, which allowed it to avoid a government bailout
  • Nigel Lawson has stated that RBD should be nationalised and that no bonuses should be paid this year
  • The UK sells bills this morning at 11:10
UK Analyst Changes
  • Antofagasta Pt Cut 10% To 1,350P At Exane; Kept At Outperform
  • Berendsen Cut To Neutral Vs Buy At Ubs
  • Easyjet Removed From Morgan Stanley Best Ideas
  • Hsbc Cut To Neutral Vs Buy At Citi
  • Invesco Cut Equalweight Vs Overweight At Morgan Stanley
  • Paragon Group Cut To Neutral Vs Buy At Bofaml
  • Shell Cut To Neutral Vs Buy At Ubs
  • Shell Cut To Underperform Vs Neutral At Bofaml
  • Smith & Nephew Rated Neutral At Jpmorgan; Pt 709P
UK Insider Buying
  • None Detailed
UK Insider Selling
  • Smiths News Plc, (NWS), 1 insider(s) sold 219605 shares, £1.64
FTSE 100 Movers
FTSE 100 Movers Graphic
Major European Companies Reporting
  • Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA, R, 0.322,  Banco Popular Espanol SA, R, -0.322,  BT Group PLC, Q3, 0.061,  CaixaBank, R, 0.06,  Derwent London PLC, R, 0.506,  Electrolux AB, R, 11.588
European Market Summary
  • Roche is in focus as its Avastin treatments has again failed to win backing from the UK health cost regulator
  • Danone is reportedly not interested in a hostile takeover of Yakult
  • Credit Agricole announces that it is to take a €2.68bn goodwill writedown in Q4
  • Spain has now lifted the short sale restrictions on its financial sector
  • BBVA announces a full year net profit of €1.68bn, just ahead of the forecasts
  • AB InBev may need to sell a brewery in order to settle an antitrust lawsuit over its planned $20bn takeover of the rest of Grupo Modelo
Major US Stock Movers After Hours
  • Audience gained a hefty 25% after hours, as it announces Q4 EPS of 14c from 9c
S&P 500 Companies Reporting
  • Aon PLC, Q4, 1.254,  Beam Inc, Q4, 0.66,  Chevron Corp, Q4, 3.028,  Exxon Mobil Corp, Q4, 2.004,  Franklin Resources Inc, Q1, 2.377,  Ingersoll-Rand PLC, Q4, 0.712,  Legg Mason Inc, Q3, 0.184,  LyondellBasell Industries NV, Q4, 1.116,  Mattel Inc, Q4, 1.148,  Merck & Co Inc, Q4, 0.81,  National Oilwell Varco Inc, Q4, 1.44,  Newell Rubbermaid Inc, Q4, 0.419,  Perrigo Co, Q2, 1.316,  Tyson Foods Inc, Q1, 0.416,  Wynn Resorts Ltd, Q4, 1.249
US Market News
  • Pfizer raised $2.24bn through the IPO of its animal health company Zoetis, pricing the shares ahead of the marketed price range
  • A US judge yesterday sentenced Peregrine Founder to 50 years in prison, after the failure of commodity broker Peregrine Group , with some using the sentence to call put additional pressure on US authorities to place criminal charges on senior executives at MF Global, such as Jon Corzine who remains out of public view
  • Metlife announces that it is to buy the Chilean pension business for about $2bn
Overnight Market News
  • Sharp announces a nine month net loss 424bn yen from the loss of 213bn last year and states that there is no material uncertainty over its ability to continue as a going concern
  • Chinese manufacturing data may affect sentiment this morning as the main measure dropped to 50.4 in January from 50.6, but it does remain above the 50 level, sustaining expansion for the fourth consecutive month
Economic Data Due
  • 09:00 Eurozone January PMI Manufacturing, 47.5 exp. 47.5 previous
  • 09:30 UK January PMI Manufacturing, 51.0 exp. 51.4 previous
  • 10:00 Eurozone December Unemployment Rate, 11.9% exp. 11.8% previous
  • 13:30 US January Change in Non Farm Payrolls, 155k exp. 155k previous
  • 13:30 US January Unemployment Rate, 7.8% exp. 7.8% previous
  • 14:55 US January Uni of Michigan Confidence, 71.3 exp. 71.3 previous
  • 15:00 US January Manufacturing ISM, 50.5 exp. 50.7 previous
Economic Events
  • IMF statement on Argentina
US Non Farm Payrolls
Contact Us
  • For Spread Bet Sales:- 0044 (0) 207 894 8800
  • For CFD Sales/Traders:- 0044 (0) 207 894 8883
  • Email:- sales@cantorcapital.com
Footnotes
  • All times given are BST
  • Cantor Call, as at 7:15am
  • S&P Companies Reporting: (BMO) - Before Market Open (AMC) - After Market Close
  • Analyst Changes, as at 6:45am
  • Insider Deals data compiled from Director/PDMR Shareholding forms published in the past 24 hours (ex weekends).
  • Major European Companies defined as those companies in the STOXX Europe 600 Index
  • FTSE 100 Movers, Blue >0.25%, Green <0.25%, Red <-0.25%, Font size dependent on percentage size of move
  • This note is compiled using information / charts from financial data providers such as Bloomberg and Reuters, as well as from the general financial / business media
Regulatory Disclaimer
This market commentary note (“note”) has been issued by Cantor Fitzgerald Europe (“CFE”), which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (“FSA”). This note is defined by the FSA as a marketing communication. This note has been prepared and distributed for information purposes only and represents the personal views and opinions of the sender. This note is not “investment research”, a “research recommendation” or a product of the Research Department. Please be aware that the CFE Research Department may issue a formal recommendation and target price on the stocks mentioned, which may differ from the opinion given here.  This note may contain information obtained by CFE from third parties; the source of information will usually be disclosed.  CFE makes no representation and gives no warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this note. Any person placing reliance upon this note does so at their own risk. Investors should consider this note as only a single factor in making their investment decision. The investment discussed in this note may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial position. CFE, its officers, employees and affiliates shall not be liable to any person in any way whatsoever for any losses, costs or claims howsoever arising from any inaccuracies or omissions in this note or any reliance on this note. The recipient is strongly recommended to see independent legal, tax and financial advice. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Income from investments may fluctuate The price or value of the investments to which this note relates; either directly or indirectly, may fall or rise against the interest of investors.
This note should not be considered to be a solicitation nor an offer of advice for the purposes of the sale or purchase of any security, investment or derivative.  The information contained in this note is not intended to form the basis of any investment decision and should not be considered a recommendation by CFE or any other person in relation to any of the companies, stock, commodities, currencies or other markets mentioned / referred to in this note. All the information contained herein is based upon information available to the public and has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. However, the information contained in this note has not been verified by CFE and CFE undertakes no obligation to provide recipients of this note with any additional information or any update to or correction of the information contained in this note. This note is provided by CFE and may be forwarded unamended and in its entirety. This note may not be used in whole or in part to create any other work. All rights reserved.
Cantor Index is a trading name of (CFE). CFE is authorised and regulated by the FSA under Firm Reference Number 149380.   CFE - FSA Register Information: http://www.fsa.gov.uk/register/firmBasicDetails.do?sid=61341
Registered in England No. 02505767
Registered Address: 17 Crosswall, London, EC3N 2LB
Risk Warning
Trading CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and is not suitable for all customers. Furthermore, margined products use leverage to increase the level of exposure to the product, and as a result your losses may substantially exceed your initial deposit and require you to make additional deposits at short notice. Prior to trading leveraged CFDs, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, experience and risk appetite and should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose.
Spread Bets are leveraged products placing your capital at risk. Losses can quickly exceed your initial deposit and thus require you to make additional deposits at short notice to maintain your positions. Leveraged products are not suitable for all customers. Please ensure you understand the risks involved before opening an account. You should ensure you fully understand the risks and seek independent financial advice if in doubt.
CFE provides an execution only service and does not offer investment advice.
These products are not intended for people under the age of 18 or for US residents.
The distribution of this note in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this note comes should inform themselves about and observe any such restrictions. By accepting this note you agree to be bound by the foregoing instructions.

 

Risk WarningFull Risk Warning

Spread Bets are leveraged products placing your capital at risk. Losses can quickly exceed your initial deposit and thus require you to make additional deposits at short notice to maintain your positions. Leveraged products are not suitable for all customers. Please ensure you understand the risks involved before opening an account. Cantor Index provides an execution only service and does not offer investment advice. You should ensure you fully understand the risks and seek independent financial advice if necessary. These products are not intended for people under the age of 18 or for US residents.