Cantor Capital Commentary

The most recent commentary notes are detailed below, for older reports please select the archive.

Our commentary notes are also freely available to all by email.

To register please fill in the enclosed “Commentary Registration” form.

Email: sales@cantorcapital.com Tel: +44 (0) 20 7894 8800.

Day Ahead

Thursday, 17 October 2013


Thursday, October 17, 2013, Marketing Communication
Opening Call
  • The FTSE is called down around 10 points lower this morning
Cantor Capital Markets Image
UK Corporate Announcements
  • Diageo Q1 details organic net sales gained 3%, but just under the estimates of 4% seen, and states it remains committed to meet its medium term guidance
  • Rank states that it sees its full year profits marginally under the current expectations, and that it is taking revenue improvement and cost reduction actions
  • Travis Perkins reports total sales growth of 8.6% and stays on track to meet its EPS targets, buoyed by growth in its trade division although consumer markets were lagging
  • Booker Group states that trading has been in line with the market expectations on H1 sales of £2.22bn from £1.91bn
  • BSkyB details Q1 revenues of £1.84bn up 7% and an adjusted pre-tax profit of £205m
  • SABMiller announces H1 organic lager volumes gained 1%, ahead of the forecasts and states that its financial performance is in line
  • Britvic announces Q4 revenues of £366m up 12.8%
  • Man Group details AUM of $52.5bn from $52bn and states that it remains cautious in its outlook for asset flows
  • Mothercare announces Q2 total group sales fell 0.5% states that the margin environment was more challenging
UK News
  • The Royal Academy of Engineering states in a new report that there was the growing risk of power outages over the next  few years due to the closure of older power plants and the slow progress in building new ones
  • While the UK does announce today a deal with Chinese investors and EDF Energy to build the first nuclear plant in the UK for over 15 years
  • Permira’s Just Retirement unit is reportedly looking to start its IPO process in the coming days
  • WH Smith is expected to have its website down for the full week as it responds to criticisms that its ebook online marketplace for self-published works was allowing adult content to be viewable to minors
  • The UK sells £4.75bn in bonds at 10:30
UK Analyst Changes
  • Barclays Resumed At Equalweight At Morgan Stanley; Pt 300P
  • Centamin Cut To Neutral Vs Buy At Nomura
  • Tui Travel Cut To Neutral Vs Buy At Ubs
UK Insider Buying
  • Jubilee Platinum Plc, (JLP), 1 insider(s) bought 665188 shares, £0.04
  • Sig Plc, (SHI), 2 insider(s) bought 130 shares, £1.9
UK Insider Selling
  • None Detailed
FTSE 100 Movers
Major European Companies Reporting
  • Actelion Ltd, Q3, 0.885,  Booker Group PLC, S1, 0,  British Sky Broadcasting Group PLC, Q1, 0.135,  Elisa OYJ, Q3, 0.346,  Investor AB, Q3, 0,  TeliaSonera AB, Q3, 1.115
European Market Summary
  • General Electric is seen floating its GE Capital arm, and rename it Cembra Money Bank, valuing the unit at around 1.5bn Sfr
  • Spain sells bonds at 10:30 and France at 11:30
Global Market Footprint
Major US Stock Movers After Hours
  • Select Comfort was the major faller after hours, off over 25% as it details a Q4 EPS of 18-26c well under the 31c forecasts
  • Ebay fell 4.7% as it announces a Q4 adjusted EPS of 79-81c just missing the estimates of 83c seen, detailing that growth in online shopping rates has slowed
  • IBM slipped over 5% as it detailed that sales have now fallen for six consecutive quarters, down 4% to $23.7bn, and against forecasts of around $24.5bn seen, citing slowing sales in China
S&P 500 Companies Reporting
  • Amphenol Corp, Q3, 0.965,  Baxter International Inc, Q3, 1.191,  BB&T Corp, Q3, 0.699,  Capital One Financial Corp, Q3, 1.775,  Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc, Q3, 2.778,  Danaher Corp, Q3, 0.828,  Dover Corp, Q3, 1.498,  Fifth Third Bancorp, Q3, 0.415,  Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The, Q3, 2.473,  Google Inc, Q3, 10.389,  Huntington Bancshares Inc/OH, Q3, 0.171,  Intuitive Surgical Inc, Q3, 3.395,  M&T Bank Corp, Q3, 2.088,  Nucor Corp, Q3, 0.386,  Peabody Energy Corp, Q3, -0.03,  People's United Financial Inc, Q3, 0.208,  Philip Morris International Inc, Q3, 1.434,  PPG Industries Inc, Q3, 2.345,  Quest Diagnostics Inc, Q3, 1.146,  Snap-on Inc, Q3, 1.413,  Stryker Corp, Q3, 0.995,  Union Pacific Corp, Q3, 2.477,  UnitedHealth Group Inc, Q3, 1.526
US Market News
  • The US Senate passes accord and ends the 16 day US government shutdown ahead of today’s deadline
  • Carlos Slim’s plans in Europe take a setback as America Movil late yesterday withdrew its €7.2bn euro offer for Royal KPN as it felt it would be impossible to meet its goal of lifting its stake to more than 50%
  • Mark Cuban was cleared in his insider trading case, after allegations he violated rules when he sold his stake in Mamma.com just ahead of an announcement of a private share sale that would have diluted his stake
Today's Bloomberg Social Velocity Alerts, (BSV)
  • Amarin Corp PLC (AMRN)
  • Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (BMY)
  • Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (BMY)
  • eBay Inc (EBAY)
  • ImmunoCellular Therapeutics Lt (IMUC)
  • International Business Machine (IBM)
  • iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI)
  • Merck & Co Inc (MRK)
  • Splunk Inc (SPLK)
  • Yahoo! Inc (YHOO)
Overnight Market News
  • Asian markets traded a little higher overnight on the US shutdown ending as expected just ahead of the deadline
  • Lao Airlines announces that 49 have died after one of its planes crashed into the Mekong river while attempting to land
Economic Data Due
  • 09:30 UK September Retail Sales, 0.3% exp. -1.0% previous
  • 13:30 US Initial Jobless Claims, 335k exp. 374k previous
Economic Events
  • US Deadline on Debt Ceiling
UK Retail Sales
CFD Sales/Traders
  • 0044 (0) 207 894 8883
  • cfdsales@cantor.com
Equity Spread Bet Sales
  • 0044 (0) 207 894 8800
  • sales@cantorcapital.com
Footnotes
  • FTSE 100 Call as at 6:45am
  • Analyst Changes, as at 6:30am
  • Times given are UK Local Time, (GMT or GMT +1 during BST)
  • Insider Deals data compiled from Director/PDMR Shareholding forms published in the past 24 hours (ex weekends).
  • Major European Companies defined as those companies in the STOXX Europe 600 Index
  • FTSE 100 Movers, Blue >0.25%, Green <0.25% > -0.25%, Red < -0.25%, Font size dependent on percentage size of move
  • BSV is a Bloomberg Terminal filter searching for unusually high social media mentions on a stock
  • This note is compiled using information / charts from financial data providers such as Bloomberg and Reuters, as well as from the general financial / business media
Regulatory Disclaimer
This market commentary note (“note”) has been issued by Cantor Fitzgerald Europe (“CFE”), which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (“FCA”). Cantor Capital and Cantor Index are trading names of CFE. This note is defined by the FCA as a marketing communication. This note has been prepared and distributed for information purposes only and represents the personal views and opinions of the sender. This note is not “investment research”, a “research recommendation” or a product of the Research Department. Please be aware that the CFE Research Department may issue a formal recommendation and target price on the stocks mentioned, which may differ from the opinion given here.  This note may contain information obtained by CFE from third parties; the source of information will usually be disclosed.  CFE makes no representation and gives no warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this note. Any person placing reliance upon this note does so at their own risk. Investors should consider this note as only a single factor in making their investment decision. The investment discussed in this note may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial position. CFE, its officers, employees and affiliates shall not be liable to any person in any way whatsoever for any losses, costs or claims howsoever arising from any inaccuracies or omissions in this note or any reliance on this note. The recipient is strongly recommended to see independent legal, tax and financial advice. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Income from investments may fluctuate. The price or value of the investments to which this note relates; either directly or indirectly, may fall or rise against the interest of investors.
This note should not be considered to be a solicitation nor an offer of advice for the purposes of the sale or purchase of any security, investment or derivative.  The information contained in this note is not intended to form the basis of any investment decision and should not be considered a recommendation by CFE or any other person in relation to any of the companies, stock, commodities, currencies or other markets mentioned / referred to in this note. All the information contained herein is based upon information available to the public and has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. However, the information contained in this note has not been verified by CFE and CFE undertakes no obligation to provide recipients of this note with any additional information or any update to or correction of the information contained in this note. This note is provided by CFE and may be forwarded unamended and in its entirety. This note may not be used in whole or in part to create any other work. All rights reserved.
FTSE International Limited (“FTSE”) © FTSE [2013]. “FTSE®” is a trade mark of the London Stock Exchange Group companies and is used by FTSE International Limited under licence. All rights in the FTSE indices and / or FTSE ratings vest in FTSE and/or its licensors. Neither FTSE nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the FTSE indices and / or FTSE ratings or underlying data. No further distribution of FTSE Data is permitted without FTSE’s express written consent.
CFE is authorised and regulated by the FCA under Firm Reference Number 149380.   CFE – The Financial Services Register Information: http://www.fsa.gov.uk/register/firmBasicDetails.do?sid=61341
Registered in England No. 02505767
Registered Address: 17 Crosswall, London, EC3N 2LB
Risk Warning
Trading CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and is not suitable for all customers. Furthermore, margined products use leverage to increase the level of exposure to the product, and as a result your losses may substantially exceed your initial deposit and require you to make additional deposits at short notice. Prior to trading leveraged CFDs, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, experience and risk appetite and should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose.
Spread Bets are leveraged products placing your capital at risk. Losses can quickly exceed your initial deposit and thus require you to make additional deposits at short notice to maintain your positions. Leveraged products are not suitable for all customers. Please ensure you understand the risks involved before opening an account. You should ensure you fully understand the risks and seek independent financial advice if in doubt.
CFE provides an execution only service and does not offer investment advice.
These products are not intended for people under the age of 18 or for US residents.
The distribution of this note in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this note comes should inform themselves about and observe any such restrictions. By accepting this note you agree to be bound by the foregoing instructions.

 

Risk WarningFull Risk Warning

Spread Bets are leveraged products placing your capital at risk. Losses can quickly exceed your initial deposit and thus require you to make additional deposits at short notice to maintain your positions. Leveraged products are not suitable for all customers. Please ensure you understand the risks involved before opening an account. Cantor Index provides an execution only service and does not offer investment advice. You should ensure you fully understand the risks and seek independent financial advice if necessary. These products are not intended for people under the age of 18 or for US residents.