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Day Ahead

Monday, 12 November 2012

Cantor Opening Call
  • The FTSE is called to open down around 10 points
UK Corporate Announcements
  • Aveva reports an H1 pre-tax profit of £25.8m and sees strong organic revenue growth ahead and remains well placed to meet its full year targets
  • Taylor Wimpey confirms its full year forecasts and states that the housing market improves incrementally 
  • Interserve announces that trading has been in line with its forecasts
  • Catlin reports nine month total investment returns of $4.1bn up 11% with US gross premiums up 27% after an accounting change
  • Wincanton details an H1 underlying operating profit of £24.3m with revenues down 11.9% and details that its group Finance Director is to leave
  • Cobham announces that it expects its revenue trends to continue for the full year and that it will deliver a good set of results and that it will continue to significantly streamline its operations
  • Bovis states that it sees a strong increase in its profit margins and it to meet its home completions target for the year
  • Latchways announces H1 revenues have fallen 9% to £18.8m and a gross margin in H1 of 51.4%
  • Dignity announces nine month revenues of £169.4m from £155.8m last year and keeps its overall expectations for 2013 remain unchanged
UK Market News
  • The FT details on how the chancellor is increasingly being lobbied to increase council tax on larger and more expensive homes, and David Cameron is due to address the banking industry at the Lord Mayor’s banquet in London at 21:30
  • The Times details on how the banks have pressured the CBI enough for the group to state publicly that the UK government should bring in laws to curb the compensation payouts banks are being forced to pay for mis-selling PPI and other financial products
  • The Telegraph writes that the a new report is to suggest that the SFO is suffering from quality failings in its staff, training and results
  • Ofcom today announces December 11th as the provisional date set for 4G applications with reserve prices totals of £1.3bn, with services to be launched May-June 2013
UK Analyst Upgrades
  • Schroders Pt Raised To 1,540P Vs 1,400P At Socgen, Stays Hold
UK Analyst Cuts
  • BInvensys Cut To Neutral Vs Buy At Ubs
  • Ryanair Cut To Neutral Vs Buy At Citi
  • Shanks Cut to Hold from Buy at Jefferies
UK Insider Buying
  • E-Therapeutics Plc, (ETX), 1 insider(s) bought 20000 shares, £0.34
  • Marshalls Plc, (MSLH), 1 insider(s) bought 10000 shares, £0.97
  • Mission Marketing Grou, (TMMG), 1 insider(s) bought 36000 shares, £0.28
  • Praetorian Resources Lt, (PRAE), 2 insider(s) bought 52500 shares, £0.46
  • Shanks Group Plc, (SKS), 1 insider(s) bought 60000 shares, £0.83
  • Vipera Plc, (VIP), 5 insider(s) bought 127500 shares, £0.05
UK Insider Selling
  • Allergy Therapeutics Pl, (AGY),  insider(s) sold 493000 shares, £0.13
  • Guinness Peat Group Pl, (GPG), 1 insider(s) sold 5000000 shares, £0.3
  • Hambledon Mining Plc, (HMB), 1 insider(s) sold 50000 shares, £0.02
  • Hays Plc, (HAS), 1 insider(s) sold 25000 shares, £0.82
  • Share Plc, (SHRE), 1 insider(s) sold 22605 shares, £0.25
  • Smiths News Plc, (NWS), 1 insider(s) sold 17956 shares, £1.53
  • Svg Capital Plc, (SVI),  insider(s) sold 44289 shares, £2.67
Major European Companies Reporting
  • ACS Actividades de Construccion y Servicios SA, Q3, 0.527,  Aveva Group PLC, S1, 0.31,  Banca Popolare di Milano Scarl, Q3, 0.005,  Cofinimmo, Q3, 1.757,  Davide Campari-Milano SpA, Q3, 0.22,  Deutsche Wohnen AG, Q3, 0.115,  Enel Green Power SpA, Q3, 0,  Pirelli & C. SpA, Q3, 0.225,  Wincor Nixdorf AG, R, 2.338
European Market Summary
  • Greece continues to battle to raise the funds required to avoid defaulting on a €5bn debt repayment this week
  • Merkel visits Portugal today, her first visit since its bailout last year
  • Bloomberg details how Goldman has noted that European companies with the largest exposure to the periphery euro nations have gained the most in recent months, but now could look vulnerable to short sellers
  • Major Investors in Veuling have indicated that the move from IAG is too low and the current offer of €7/share will need to be increased
  • Germany sells up to €6bn in 6m bills at 11:30, and France sells up to €7bn in bills at 15:00
Major US Stock Movers After Hours
  • Titanium Metals gained over 42% after hours as Precision Castparts announces it is to buy the group at $16.50/share, after closing at $11.57 , Precision Castparts also gained 5% on the news
  • Lockheed Martin announces that its COO, and incoming CEO has resigned, due to a relationship with a subordinate, and that the SEC is already investigating how bearish option trading volumes surged just ahead of the official announcement`
S&P 500 Companies Reporting
  • DR Horton Inc, Q4, 0.271,  Jacobs Engineering Group Inc, Q4, 0.791
US Market News
  • Following the Presidential election some senators, from both parties, are starting to suggest that there could be a successful resolution to the standoff ahead of the fiscal cliff, and that a ‘framework agreement’ could be reached
  • Over the weekend President Obama was declared the winner in Florida, adding a further 29 electoral votes to his winning margin
  • JC Penney has had its ratings cut to B- from B+ at S&P late on Friday, with a stable outlook citing its week results
  • Apple has now settled its patent disputes against HTC, as it responds to the growing criticisms from consumers over its perceived heavy handed approach, and instead states that it ‘will continue to stay laser focused on product innovation’
  • Russia has publicly encouraged the US and Iran to start one to one talks over Iran’s nuclear program
  • Barron’s highlights analysts that see FXCM gaining as much as 30% over the next 18 months as it continues to gain market share
  • The paper also writes on how Bed Bath & Beyond, FedEx, and Apple are amongst the companies that could see gains in the coming weeks, as they look undervalued compared to the boost they are expected to receive in the key retailing period ahead
    and finally Barron’s also highlights analysts that see value in Berkshire Hathaway and see the stock gaining around 10% over the year
  • US Veteran's Day today, However major markets NYSE, Nymex, Nasdaq remain open
Overnight Market News
  • Sony and MGM have seen the best open yet for a Bond movie with Skyfall in the US as the marketing strategy of opening movies in international regions first to ‘help build buzz’ ahead of an open in the US pays dividends, and counter to recent years which saw large movies opening in the US first then rolled out globally
  • Hong Kong and Canada have signed a new treaty to avoid double taxation as they look to increase trade between the two economies
Major Global IPOs Due Today
  • Adi Sarana Armada Tbk PT, (ASSA), 1360m, IDR 390
  • Arigatou Services Co Ltd, (3177), 0.32m, JPY 1170
  • Centurion Resources Plc, (0618885D), 229.977m, GBp 1
  • Firstextile Ag, (FT8), 1.8m, EUR 10
  • Paradise Phosphate Ltd, (PPO), 40m, AUD 0.5
FX Summary
  • The euro stays down at two year lows ahead of the European Finance Ministers meeting in Brussels today
  • Australia’s Treasurer states that the US needs to end the political standoff on the budget cuts as it was jeopardizing a fragile recovery in the global economy
Commodity Summary
  • Iron ore has moved up to three month highs as demand in China stays strong and as Chinese exports continue to pick up
Economic Data Due
  • 07:00 German October Wholesale Price Index, 1.3% previous
Economic Events
  • Euro Area Finance Ministers Meet in Brussels
  • Monti Meets French PM in Paris
Contact Us
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  • For CFD Sales/Traders:- 0044 (0) 207 894 8883
  • Email:- Sales@cantorcapital.com
Footnotes
  • All times given are BST
  • Cantor Call, as at 07:15
  • S&P Companies Reporting, (BMO) - Before Market Open, (AMC) - After Market Close
  • Analyst Changes, as at 06:45
  • Insider Deals data compiled from Director/PDMR Shareholding forms published in the past 24 hours (ex weekends).
  • Major European Companies defined as those companies in the STOXX Europe 600 Index
  • FTSE 100 Movers, Blue >0.25%, Green <0.25%, Red <-0.25%, Font size dependent on percentage size of move
Disclaimer
This report is issued by Cantor Fitzgerald Europe, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.  This report is prepared and distributed for information purposes only.  This report may contain information obtained by Cantor Fitzgerald Europe from third parties; the source of information will usually be disclosed.  Cantor Fitzgerald Europe makes no representation and gives no warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this report.  Any person placing reliance upon this report does so at his own risk.  Cantor Fitzgerald Europe, its officers, employees, affiliates and shareholders shall not be liable to any person in any way whatsoever for any losses, costs or claims howsoever arising from any inaccuracies or omissions in this report or any reliance on this report.
This report should not be considered to be a solicitation nor the offer of advice for the purposes of the sale or purchase of any security, investment or derivative.  The information contained in this report is not intended to form the basis of any investment decision and should not be considered a recommendation by Cantor Fitzgerald Europe or any other person in relation to any of the companies, stock, commodities, currencies or other markets referred to in this report. The information contained in this report has not been verified by Cantor Fitzgerald Europe and Cantor Fitzgerald Europe undertakes no obligation to provide recipients of this report with any additional information or any update to or correction of the information contained in this report. Cantor Fitzgerald Europe is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (“FSA”) under firm reference number 149380.
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